The Orioles started off their season in the loss column, with a very tough 9th inning blown save. Today the Birds try to even things up behind Jeremy Guthrie, while the Rays go with the hard-throwing Matt Garza.
Rays' line-up:
|
Bat |
Pos |
Batting |
| Bartlett, Jason |
R |
SS |
.500/.600/.500 |
| Crawford, Carl |
L |
LF |
.250/.400/.500 |
| Zobrist, Ben |
S |
RF |
.500/.500/.750 |
| Longoria, Evan |
R |
3B |
.250/.250/1.000 |
| Pena, Carlos |
L |
1B |
.250/.250/.250 |
| Upton, BJ |
R |
CF |
.250/.250/.250 |
| Burrell, Pat |
R |
DH |
.250/.250/.500 |
| Shoppach, Kelly |
R |
C |
1.000/1.000/2.000 |
| Brignac, Reid |
L |
2B |
.287/.301/.444 ('09) |
Garza from 2009:
| K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
GB rate |
FIP^ |
xFIP^ |
WAR^ |
| 8.4 |
3.5 |
1.1 |
39.7% |
4.17 |
4.21 |
3.4 |
His stuff
^:

Garza throws that four-seam fastball, he throws it pretty hard (~93 mph), and he throws it a lot. He got an above average rate of swings and misses on it, though it had only an average-ish run value (+0.06 runs per 100 throws, according to FanGraphs). The change-up got mixed in rarely, and while it got some whiffs, it didn't have much sink on it and had a negative run value (-2.93 per 100). The curve had quite a bit of drop, and though batters made contact with it a little more often than average it was still a plus pitch overall (+1.57 runs per 100). The slider was pretty filthy, and was his best pitch by run value (+2.75 per 100). Garza's control can be spotty at times, so some patience at the plate might pay off.
The O's are sending up:
|
Bat |
Pos |
Batting |
| Roberts, Brian |
S |
2B |
.000/.000/.000 |
| Jones, Adam |
R |
CF |
.600/.600/1.400 |
| Markakis, Nick |
L |
RF |
.333/.600/.667 |
| Tejada, Miguel |
R |
SS |
.000/.000/.000 |
| Scott, Luke |
L |
DH |
.333/.500/1.333 |
| Wieters, Matt |
S |
C |
.500/.500/1.250 |
| Reimold, Nolan |
R |
LF |
.279/.365/.466 ('09) |
| Atkins, Garrett |
R |
1B |
.250/.250/.500 |
| Izturis, Cesar |
S |
SS |
.500/.500/.500 |
Nolan's making his first appearance of 2010. Not sure why they then left him off yesterday - they're still playing on turf.
Edit: Seems Pie is out because of a rotator cuff strain. Sounds like he's day-to-day.
Guthrie ('09):
| K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
GB rate |
FIP |
xFIP |
WAR |
| 5.0 |
2.7 |
1.6 |
34.7% |
5.31 |
5.22 |
1.1 |
Setting the over/under of home runs allowed by Jeremy at 1.5 (keep in mind that he probably won't be pitching a full 9 innings).